Wind Power Development in ASEAN: It’s Promising! January 30, 2017 | by

Credit ACE

In the last decade, wind energy development in ASEAN has increased tremendously with compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.4%.

The growth rate of wind power in ASEAN is just below solar photovoltaics (PV), which have the highest growth among other renewable sources. Even though hydropower is still the biggest source of renewables in ASEAN, the development of wind power has been showing a promising progress. In 2006, ASEAN only had 25 MW of wind power, mostly in pilot projects and small scales. Currently, the Philippines is the largest market for wind power in ASEAN, adding 350 MW of new capacity in 2014-2015. Cumulative wind power capacity in the region has more than tripled in the last 3 years, from 145 MW in 2012 to 750 MW in 2015.

The year of 2012 was an important year for Thailand’s wind power, when the first commercial wind power commenced its operation, adding a total of 104 MW in 2013. In the meantime, for the Philippines, the development of wind was showing a significant progress in 2014, with total additional capacity of 250 MW.

Note: * unofficial preliminary data from AMS

Note: * ACE unofficial preliminary data from ASEAN Member States

 

Commitment to Wind as a Cheaper and Cleaner Alternative Energy
The ASEAN Member States (AMS) have set an aspirational target to achieve renewable energy (RE) share of 23% by 2025. Several AMS like Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia and Vietnam have stated their commitment to wind power by including it in their RE target. The targets of wind energy in the AMS are shown in table below [1]:

Member State 

Wind energy target
Lao PDR 73 MW in 2025
Indonesia 1.5 GW in 2025
Philippines 2.3 GW in 2030
Thailand 3 GW in 2036
Vietnam

12 TWh in 2030

Wind power not only addresses the challenges of energy security, climate change and access to energy for all, but it also becomes increasingly cost competitive.  As reported by Electricity Markets & Policy Group at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab), wind prices are at an all-time low, with newly built wind projects in the U.S averaging around 2¢/kWh thanks to technology advancements and cost reductions across the wind industry [2].

 

Feed-in Tariff as Key Policy

Stable and long-term policies that reduce investment/business risks are critical for RE deployment. The policies should bring confidence and security to project developers and financiers to ensure longer term implementation. Based on ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE)’s study on ASEAN RE policies [1], comprehensive RE policies that include essential tools such as attractive tariffs and incentives stimulate investment from the private sector.

In the early stage of wind power’s deployment when investors and lenders still perceived the technical and financial risks as very high, feed-in tariffs (FiT) attracted enough interests in wind power projects. Among the AMS, only the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam apply FiT for wind power, as shown in the figure below:

Note: The exchange rate of PHP and THB is as of 27 January 2017 (www.exe.com). The FiT in Vietnam is in USD.

Note: The exchange rate of PHP and THB is as of 27 January 2017 (www.exe.com). The FiT in Vietnam is in USD.

 

In the Philippines, there was a positive impact on wind power projects when the FiT rules and regulations for RE were promulgated in 2010 and the rates were announced in 2012. The impact could be seen in 2014 when the number of wind power projects exceeded the country’s short-term target. In the Philippines, the FiT is granted to a project once it is ready for operation.

In Thailand, only small wind turbines had been developed from 2007 to 2011. Even though the adder scheme (now FiT) was already introduced in 2007, large wind farms were developed only in 2012 and 2013. Wind power in Thailand is limited to along the gulf area where a few large wind farms have been developed.

In Vietnam, the wind power tariffs were first introduced in 2011, but it appears that it has limited impact on the development of wind power projects.  During that  time, the existing three wind power projects  had already started their operations before the selling tariffs were applied. These days, project developers and investors think that the current FiT for wind power projects in Vietnam are low. This makes investment in wind power projects unattractive. However, the Government of Vietnam is preparing a new FiT for wind power to attract more investment. (Featured photo: 54 MW San Lorenzo wind farm in Guimaras Island, the Philippines. Credit: ACE)

 

 

References:
1. ASEAN Centre for Energy: ASEAN Renewable Energy Policies. 2016
2. https://emp.lbl.gov/publications/2015-wind-technologies-market-report . Accessed on 28 January 2016

 

 

The views, opinions, and information expressed in this article were compiled from sources believed to be reliable for information and sharing purposes only, and are solely those of the writer/s. They do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of the ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) and/or ASEAN Member States. Any use of this article’s content should be by ACE’s permission.